Even if they couldn't read them yet. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. On one try.. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. They agree to within a factor of two! Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Step 1. Which ones bigger? But let's think about this some more. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. But let's think about this some more. Do you know the odds of being alive? A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Now things start getting interesting. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. saving. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. But Im not mathy. Tara MacIsaac is an Epoch Times reporter based in Toronto. And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. Step 1. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. Scripture says. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? The even better news is that the first one on Tue June 16, which is the Special Session on Joy, is free Continue reading "Brain Yoga: New Sessions" If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. How fast does a laden fly fly? Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Want to Read. Part of HuffPost Wellness. Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. An unimaginably long time. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. So whats the probability of your existing? He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. If you assume the current population is 1% of the history of humanity, the total number of combinations increases to 1.1 x 10^39. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. June 24, 2022 . So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? It has over 40,000 names organized into different categories, including Unisex, Boys Names, and Girls Names. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. Please pass this post along. You have lived your life. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Having said that, Monsignor Popes reflection should spur us to consider that while the Mind of God could think of a nearly infinite number of souls to create, he chose to create you and I. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents. msk zilina slovan bratislava; battle of the brothers winner So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? Also follow me on Instagram @RecovHer and visit my RecovHer YouTube Channel for more sober tools and tips. Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. You can start the series by clicking HERE. Step 2. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. Something was dropped and then picked up. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. Why? If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Onward to freedom! The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. Yet here we are. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. Just go have some fucking fun! (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Step 4. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their grandparents, and so on till the beginning of time. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. To get the final answer, technically we need to multiply that by the 1045,000 , 2000 and 20,000 up there, but those numbers are so shrimpy in comparison that it almost doesnt matter. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Part of HuffPost Wellness.
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